yehudayona

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  • in reply to: Empirical data: how did we handle COVID vs our neighbors? #1865550
    yehudayona
    Participant

    The title doesn’t match the OP. The title is “how did we handle,” while the OP asks how it affected us. I don’t know of a way to measure how we handled it other than through anecdotal evidence, which can be misleading. In theory, it’s pretty straightforward to answer the question of how it affected us. We just have to have sufficient testing. In NY, about 9% of the population has been tested for the virus; in NJ it’s somewhat less. I haven’t seen stats on antibody testing, and presumably such stats would be suspect because the FDA blew it and allowed bogus antibody tests for a while.

    It’s hard to compare the frum community in the NY/NJ area to the non-Jews. The African American community was hit hard for a number of reasons that don’t apply so much to the frum community: they work in service jobs with a lot of contact with the public, they have worse access to health providers, and I believe they have a higher incidence of comorbidities like hypertension and diabetes.

    in reply to: Our Stupid President Trump #1864328
    yehudayona
    Participant

    From the White House website

    Remarks by President Trump at Ford Rawsonville Components Plant

    “The company founded by a man named Henry Ford — good bloodlines, good bloodlines, if you believe in that stuff. You got good blood. (Laughs.)”

    Apparently Trump is unaware of Ford’s anti-semitism.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1864303
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Joseph, you’re ignoring my point that most of those European countries have flattened the curve more than the U.S. has. If trends continue along the same path, the U.S. is going to climb in the per capita death rankings. Now it looks like Brazil is going to give those countries a run for the money, largely because it has a Trump-like populist president who has denied the danger of the virus much as Trump did in January and February.

    There’s a simple explanation for Gaza’s low death toll — it’s isolated from the rest of the world. If nobody comes in, nobody gets infected.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1863557
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Joseph, I said, “we don’t know how accurate any country’s statistics are.” “Any country” includes China. I also said (regarding the PA/Hamas, but applicable to many countries) that they could be “lying or simply [don’t] have robust data gathering.” I expect that countries with a free press are more likely than other countries to have accurate numbers for obvious reasons.

    I have been consistently calling out Trump’s lies about testing. He cites absolute numbers. I cite per capita numbers. As for deaths, the U.S. is not in a great place on a per capita basis either. We’re #9 if you leave out tiny countries like San Marino and Andorra. The top 8 are Belgium, Spain, Italy, the U.K., France, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Ireland. All those countries except the U.K. and Sweden seem to have flattened the curve more than we have, so it’s likely they will move down in the ranking and the U.S. will move up.

    Correlating COVID deaths with the political affiliation of the governor isn’t very logical. How about we look at something that’s more logical, population density? I looked at the top 8 states (actually 7 states plus D.C.) for population density. In order of density they rank as follows in terms of COVID deaths per capita: #5, #2, #7, #4, #3, #10, #12, and #1. To clarify, D.C. has the highest population density and is fifth highest in per capita COVID deaths, while New York has the eighth highest population density and the highest per capita COVID death rate.

    Densely populated states tend to have Democratic governors. They also tend to be on the Atlantic Ocean. To say that they have a high rate of COVID deaths because they have Democratic governors makes as much sense as saying the virus washed ashore from the Atlantic.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1863407
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Joseph, I’m not sure what you consider deceitful in Charlie’s reply, and I don’t think he was even trying to explain why the West Bank and Gaza allegedly have fared better. Not that Charlie needs me to defend him, of course.

    I have a couple of possible explanations. First, we don’t know how accurate any country’s statistics are, so it’s possible that the PA/Hamas or whoever came up with those statistics is lying or simply doesn’t have robust data gathering. Second, we know that the virus was spread by travelers. Israel has way more travelers than the West Bank/Gaza.

    BTW, Belarus is now four places ahead of the U.S. in per capita testing. The U.S. is now in 39th place.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1862398
    yehudayona
    Participant

    hh, I had a hard time deciphering your reply, but I think you’re saying lack of vitamin D causes more infections or more serious consequences of infections. Is that your claim? Do you have any evidence?

    in reply to: Which cities in the US will have summer camp open? #1861896
    yehudayona
    Participant

    “No visiting day” would make parents absolutely giddy.

    in reply to: Which cities in the US will have summer camp open? #1861703
    yehudayona
    Participant

    I believe the Kawasaki-like illness hasn’t been seen in infants. From what I’ve read, Kawasaki itself usually hits kids up to age 5 (mean age 4), while for this new illness, the mean age is 8.

    in reply to: Hungry for News #1861574
    yehudayona
    Participant

    The problem is a news shortage brought about by news factories being closed because many of the news workers have been infected with coronavirus. The president hasn’t deemed news factories essential, so he hasn’t invoked the Defense Production Act.

    in reply to: Crushing Corona #1861575
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Walmart, Target, and your local Dollar Tree sell food and OTC medications. Your local clothing store doesn’t.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1860654
    yehudayona
    Participant

    DMB, Israel has done more tests per capita than the U.S., by a long shot. The numbers I’m seeing today are 54,277 per million for Israel, 30,017 per million for the U.S. The U.S. has been neck and neck with Belarus for weeks now.

    There’s a question in my mind whether the people who get multiple tests (e.g. White House staffers who get tested daily) mess up the significance of per capita testing numbers. I suspect not, given that it’s likely that the number of such people is relatively small.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1860308
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Milhouse, here are numbers I found for hospitalizations per 100,000 for different age groups. These are from the CDC, posted on April 8. Age 18-49, 2.5; Age 50-64, 7.4; Age 65-74 12.2; Age 75-84 15.8; Age 85+ 17.2.

    So clearly, it’s overwhelmingly the elderly who are being hospitalized, right? No, wrong. You have to take into account the number of people in each age group. I found numbers from July 1, 2018. There were 129.58 million age 20-49, 63.16 million age 50-64, 30.48 million age 65-74, 15.39 million age 75-84, and 6.55 million age 85+. (Note that for the youngest group I’m considering, the hospitalizations are for ages 18-49, while the population is for ages 20-49. Those are numbers I found.)

    If you do the math, you’ll find that about 7900 were 20-64, and about 7200 were 65+. To summarize, the hospitalization rate is higher for the elderly, but the actual number hospitalized is greater for non-elderly.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1860124
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Trump is not listening to Dr. Fauci.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1859898
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Milhouse, here’s the information that I was alluding to. It was published on May 6.

    Cuomo said nearly 84% of the hospitalized cases were people who were not commuting to work through car services, personal cars, public transit or walking. He said a majority of those people were either retired or unemployed.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1858261
    yehudayona
    Participant

    The latest news is that a substantial majority of those recently admitted to hospitals in NYC for COVID-19 were pretty much staying at home, retired or unemployed. They did not use mass transit. Of course, that doesn’t mean that they weren’t infected by someone (e.g. a family member) who did use mass transit. Mass transit is beginning to look like a red herring. Depending who’s riding, it might also smell like a red herring.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1857692
    yehudayona
    Participant

    The subways are now closed from 1 AM to 5 AM for cleaning. I believe this is the first time they’re not running 24/7 for a reason that’s not weather-related (e.g. Superstorm Sandy) or strike-related. I live within seeing/hearing distance of a subway line, and I’ve noticed no reduction in service or length of trains. On April 8, the MTA chairman said ridership was down 92%, so I find it hard to believe that trains are crowded.

    in reply to: What is EY doing in fighting Covi-19 that NYC can learn from” #1857507
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Several people here have blamed the subway system for the spread of COVID-19. My first reaction was, “Makes sense, but has anybody done a study?” so I googled “subways spread coronavirus.” Apparently that’s been a talking point in conservative media outlets, largely based on a paper written by an MIT economist named Jeffrey Harris. Google’s first hit was an article in Citylab that critiques the study. Here’s a quote: The study has been widely panned. Over the past week, mathematicians, infectious disease researchers, and transit policy experts have criticized Harris’ methods, warning that he fails to provide statistical evidence and ignores significant confounding factors.

    in reply to: Dr Vadimir “Zev” Zelenko being investigated #1856275
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Health, AFAIK you’ve never revealed your credentials in the CR. You’ve said you work in the health field, but that could be anything from an HCA on up.

    in reply to: Garlic for Coronavirus #1855904
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Actually, I think the government would be willing to accept a cure from witch doctors if it worked. It’s in the government’s interest to end the pandemic.

    in reply to: Pricing New Corona 19 Virus Drugs #1855888
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Akuperma, you seem to be assuming that the presence of antibodies confers immunity. There seems to be some doubt about this.

    in reply to: Garlic for Coronavirus #1855730
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Health, why don’t you immediately contact Drs. Fauci and Birx with your breakthrough ideaof using zinc to cure COVID-19?

    in reply to: Inspiring safe & legal Porch minyanim all over Lakewood #1855565
    yehudayona
    Participant

    FYI, in today’s COVID-19 death count, NY is down from 330 to 306 and NJ is up from 328 to 458.

    in reply to: Inspiring safe & legal Porch minyanim all over Lakewood #1855331
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Commonsaychel, I didn’t know I had a question. I thought I just stated some facts as best as I could. Clearly I put them in this topic (which I haven’t read) because it has to do with relaxing social distancing in NJ.

    I wasn’t able to find time series of COVID-19 deaths by state (much less by county), but I think NJ is behind NY in reductions of deaths. Again, if anyone can find numbers that confirm or refute my surmise, I would be grateful.

    in reply to: Inspiring safe & legal Porch minyanim all over Lakewood #1854961
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Today’s NY COVID-19 deaths total 330. NJ reported 328. While all death counts are probably lower than the true number, I believe NY includes probable COVID deaths and NJ doesn’t (please correct me if I’m wrong). NY has more than twice the population of NJ.

    in reply to: How to comment on articles. #1853989
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Milhouse, expect to get more emails from Nigerian princes.

    in reply to: Things we managed to live without #1852535
    yehudayona
    Participant

    HASC had an online Uncle Moishy performance, I think on the Sunday before Pesach.

    in reply to: MALARIA DRUG – RIDICULOUS STUDY #1852055
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Yserbius, Trump has already stopped touting it. I’m not sure if Trump listened to Fox or Fox listened to Trump, but they’re basically a feedback loop.

    in reply to: Its all China’s fault???? #1851657
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Current situation = COVID-19 pandemic in the US. I thought that was obvious.

    in reply to: Electoral Politics After Coronavirus #1851606
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Actually, Joseph, no country is counting accurately. Some, like Iran, are probably covering up deaths (weeks ago, there were stories about satellite images of a cemetery near Quds where long trenches were being dug). In the US, different states are following different standards. Probably people without COVID-19 are dying because they can’t access medical care or they’re afraid to go to the hospital. Very few countries have handled this pandemic well, but I don’t know of any country other than the US where it has been so politicized.

    I finally came across an article about Belgium. They are assuming all nursing home deaths are from COVID-19, so their figures are skewed in the opposite direction.

    in reply to: Its all China’s fault???? #1851551
    yehudayona
    Participant

    One could argue that Nixon’s responsible for our current situation. Before he made nice with China, there was no trade with China, no flights to China, almost complete isolation. Of course, it’s unlikely that the situation would have remained that way if Nixon hadn’t opened up relations with China. Some other president would have done it.

    in reply to: why is this happening #1851109
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Joseph, I didn’t realize you were one of the Gedolim. My apologies.

    in reply to: Lack of kovid hatorah. #1850799
    yehudayona
    Participant

    COVID is spelled with a C, not a K.

    in reply to: Electoral Politics After Coronavirus #1850463
    yehudayona
    Participant

    As regards the number of deaths in the U.S., at the moment we’re #1 in number, and #9 in per capita deaths if we eliminate very small countries like San Marino and Andorra. The top ranked non-tiny countries in terms of deaths per million population are Belgium, Spain, Italy, France, UK, Netherlands, Switzerland, Sweden, and then the USA. That’s assuming that every country is telling the truth (doubtful) and they’re all using the same standard as to what deaths are attributed to COVID-19 (even more doubtful). It’s interesting that we’ve all heard of the situation in Spain and Italy, but I’ve read nothing about Belgium.

    in reply to: Its all China’s fault???? #1850453
    yehudayona
    Participant

    I guess if you go by the name Milhouse you’re an expert on bad presidents.

    in reply to: Electoral Politics After Coronavirus #1850452
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Abba_S, the Democratic Convention has been rescheduled for August. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s a virtual convention. But I don’t think they’ll nominate anyone but Biden.

    in reply to: Wild Animals Take Over #1850451
    yehudayona
    Participant

    It’s much ado about nothing. The goats in that Welsh town come every year, it’s just that this year, they’re less timid because there are fewer people around. Anyone who lives in (parts of) Monsey can tell you about deer in their backyards. When I lived in an urban area of New England, we had wild turkeys roosting in the trees. I’ve seen raccoons, skunks, and opossums in urban areas. I’ve seen wild boars in Kiryat Sefer. The monkeys in Thailand and the deer in Japan were always there, but they were well fed by tourists.

    A bigger problem is the rats that used to survive on food in restaurant dumpsters and food that people put in public trash cans. They’re now entering buildings looking for food. Rats are more likely to spread disease than are any of the animals in the article (though there’s no evidence that they spread SARS-CoV–2).

    in reply to: Camps in Catskills #1849557
    yehudayona
    Participant

    GHD, although it’s clear that children who get the virus seem to be the least seriously affected, I have no idea where you got the idea that their incidence of infection is low. Could you point to a reliable source for this claim?

    in reply to: Its all China’s fault???? #1849470
    yehudayona
    Participant

    I don’t think any historian considers Wilson America’s worst president, although he certainly had major flaws. In fact, many historians rank him among the best. He was a relatively moderate voice regarding punishing Germany. Clemenceau certainly deserves more blame than Wilson for the harsh punishment meted out at Versailles.

    yehudayona
    Participant

    Couch potato, what makes you think this is the last pandemic? Even when there’s a COVID-19 vaccine and everybody (except anti-vaxxers) gets it, there’s always a chance that another pandemic will pop up. I kind of like the idea of hand shaking becoming a relic of the past. It eliminates the problem of people of the opposite sex extending their hand expecting you to shake it.

    in reply to: Its all China’s fault???? #1848806
    yehudayona
    Participant

    Ebola originated in Africa. There’s no consensus about the origins of the 1918-1919 flu pandemic.

    I’m not Milhouse, but the harsh terms of the Treaty of Versailles are generally accepted as leading to the rise of Hitler, Y”MS.

    in reply to: Kosher Lpesach Medication #1846546
    yehudayona
    Participant

    You should be asking your LOR, not the nudniks who populate the CR.

    According to the CRC (Chicago Rabbinical Council), you can take almost any medicine that’s in pill or capsule form. Check their website and click on Pesach Guide 2020.

    yehudayona
    Participant

    Not to mention it’s a big chillul Hashem.

    in reply to: We need a Pinchas to take action to stop the magefah!! #1846378
    yehudayona
    Participant

    [Getting popcorn and a comfy chair to watch the Health vs. commonsaychel match.]

    in reply to: Community COVID fund #1846067
    yehudayona
    Participant

    yid, that’s why we have a gabbai tzedaka. You give money to him and he gives it to people who need it. There have been a number of high-profile cases of Gofundme fraud.

    in reply to: Seder at home #1845606
    yehudayona
    Participant

    For an inspirational take on being alone for Seder, read “When the Lubavitcher Rebbe Self-Quarantined for Seder” on R’ Pini Dunner’s website.

    in reply to: Smartphones #1845068
    yehudayona
    Participant

    I don’t get the question. Most people are home these days, where they have a convenient desktop or laptop. I can understand the question BCV (before coronavirus) or in the future when restrictions will be lifted, but not now. Also, it’s not great for your mental health to dwell on our current situation (though I confess I do so). How about preparing divrei Torah for the Seder instead of obsessing about the news? (This question is for me as much as anybody.)

    in reply to: Minyan #1844957
    yehudayona
    Participant

    user176, as the video elsewhere on YWN mentions, buildings have HVAC systems that circulate the air. Not to mention the 6 foot rule is useless if someone coughs or sneezes.

    in reply to: Nebulizer #1844461
    yehudayona
    Participant

    H2O2 is hydrogen peroxide, which is available at any drug store or even Dollar Tree (though I expect it’s sold out these days). It certainly not a hazardous material. The rest of the OP is equally suspect. If you google Frank Shallenberger, you’ll find that he lost his medical license in California for some pretty horrendous things, then moved to Nevada where he’s continuing his quackery.

    in reply to: Minyan #1844455
    yehudayona
    Participant

    There’s a very powerful video going around from Rabbi Shimon Freundlich from Chabad Beijing that explains why outdoor minyanim are dangerous. It just takes a little wind to blow that droplet from the guy who sneezed or coughed on your clothing. You touch your clothing, then touch your face, and you’re infected. If you google Shimon Freundlich instagram, you’ll find the video.

    Of course, the bottom-line reason you should daven at home is because all the rabbonim say so.

    in reply to: Garlic for Coronavirus #1843099
    yehudayona
    Participant

    If you eat enough garlic, it will aid social distancing.

Viewing 50 posts - 51 through 100 (of 1,638 total)